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Bonds

4 Key Reasons US Treasury Market Selloff Is Likely to Continue in the Months Ahead

A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drives yields higher.Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to...

Powell Needs You to Buy Bonds so the Fed Can Buy Time

Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...

Bear Steepening Raises Red Flags for Stock Market Investors

There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets.History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...

$40 Billion In Wrong Bond Fund Past 2 Years, Says Joe Friday

When treasury bond yields are rising, bond prices are falling. It’s an inverse relationship.And so it makes sense that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has fallen sharply...

Treasury Market Plays Catch-Up With Higher-for-Longer Risk

The collective wisdom of the bond market for much of this year has been betting that interest rates would soon peak and fall. But those bets appear to be unwinding in the wake of Wednesday’s...

Fed Leads Investors Into Bonds Amid Stock Market Uncertainty, Higher Yields

Stocks are tanking as markets price in higher for longer scenario Meanwhile, bonds have declined for 2 years in a row and are on track for a third bearish year As economic weakness sets in eventually...

Why Bank Loans, Junk Bonds Are Having a Good Year

Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023.The upside performance...

High Bond Yields Keep Pricing in Economic Mirage

In Our Elevator Pitch For Bonds, we asked: “Is this time different?” Our view of the attractiveness of bonds can be honed into an elevator pitch. It essentially boils down to a...

German Bunds Break Below Support, More Downside Remains Likely

The German Bund has finally broken support in the bearish channel and targets the 127% extension of the March 2023 impulsive move higher. Following the ECB last week, and ahead of the FOMC this week,...

Has the 10-Year Yield Peaked? Fair-Value Model Says Yes, but Market Says No

The US 10-year Treasury yield continued to trend higher in August, rising further above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three...

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